Rice Production, Trade and the Poor: Regional Effects of Rice Export Policy on Households in Vietnam
08/10/18 04:39PM
Pham Van Ha, Hoa Thi Minh Nguyen, Tom Kompas, Tuong Nhu Che and Bui Trinh. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2014.
Abstract: Analysing Vietnam's rice
export policy and recent export ban in the context of rising food prices, this
study combines insights from a regionally-disaggregated or ‘bottom-up’ CGE
model and a micro-simulation using household data. Three main conclusions are
drawn. First, although there is little impact on GDP, there are substantial
distributional impacts across regions and households from different export
policies and market conditions. Second, both rural and urban households,
including poor households, benefit from free trade, even though domestic rice
prices are higher. Finally, under free trade, relatively large gains accrue to
rural households, where poverty is most pervasive in Vietnam.
