Anticipatory climate governance in Southeast Asia.
23/12/21 04:29PM
Rathana Peou, Karlijn Muiderman, Joost Vervoort, et al. Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) Working Paper No. 389 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, 2021.
Abstract:
This report presents the RE-IMAGINE research in one of its four
regions: Southeast Asia. REIMAGINE builds on climate foresight expertise
of the Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) Program
and analyses the role of foresight in climate governance across the
globe. Anticipating the possible impacts of climate change has become a
key global focus. Scenarios and many other methods and tools are used
today to imagine climate futures and develop strategies for realizing
new futures while governing climate change. With the proliferation of
these processes in sustainability-related research and planning
contexts, scrutiny of their role in steering decision-making becomes
increasingly important. How can the benefits and challenges of these
processes of anticipation be better understood as governance
interventions? Research into anticipatory climate governance processes
in the Global South has remained very limited, while these regions are
most vulnerable to climate change. This report therefore examines
processes of anticipation in Southeast Asia. The research question we
answer is: ‘through what approaches are diverse processes of
anticipation used to govern climate change in diverse Southeast Asian
contexts?’. We first examine what methods and tools are used to
anticipate climate futures and their role in climate policy and
decision-making. We then closely examine three case studies to
understand their approaches to anticipatory governance. Additionally, we
present the results of two regional meetings with stakeholders where we
discussed the challenges that exist in each country to practice
anticipatory climate governance and the opportunities to strengthen
capacities in this field. Finally, we present recommendations for
strengthening processes of anticipatory climate governance in the
region.
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